Strong job market, but many are frustrated by prospects



Economy-Jobs-Report

The American job market continues to show surprising strength — good news for President Donald Trump who has taken a beating in the polls over the surging gasoline prices that followed U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran.

Employers added 172,000 jobs in May – roughly double what forecasters had expected – and the unemployment rate remained at a low 4.3 percent, the Labor Department reported Friday.

Job growth was down slightly last month from a revised 179,000 in April.

Hiring has bounced back this year from a miserable 2025, showing resilience in the face of economic uncertainty and painfully high energy prices since the Iran war started in late February.

The job gains are broad-based. Local governments added 55,000 workers, restaurants and bars 48,000, healthcare companies 35,000.

In another sign of job market strength, Labor Department revisions added a combined 93,000 jobs in March and April. Job growth averaged 188,000 a month from March through May, marking the best three months of hiring since early 2024.

“The hiring recession is over. American firms are hiring again,’’ said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. "The job rebound is happening in almost every industry … This is encouraging news for job seekers and for the U.S. economy. The labor market has stabilized and is showing early signs of a genuine rebound.’’

With just five months to go before consequential midterm elections in the U.S., Americans have grown increasingly frustrated by rising costs, and it’s unclear if the strong job numbers this year will change their gloomy view of the economy.

Inflation data last week showed that in addition to gasoline, prices for groceries, clothing and electricity are also on the rise, indicating that inflation may be growing more entrenched.

Polls show that Trump’s approval rating on the economy is falling sharply after being reelected largely on the promise of taming inflation.

And despite the pickup in hiring, wage gains were modest. Average hourly wages rose 0.3 percent from April and 3.4 percent from May 2025.

Many young people are still finding it tough to catch a break on a job, and workers who have been laid off have struggled to find another. Nearly 28 percent of the unemployed in April had been jobless for more than six months, the largest share since December 2021.

But the labor market is clearly improving. Last year, employers added just 9,700 jobs a month, the fewest outside of a recession since 2002. Hiring has rebounded, averaging 114,000 new jobs a month so far this year.

Friday's report "really is a positive surprise, particularly given the headwinds from the Iran conflict, which clearly led to much higher energy prices and which are going to act to slow economic activity to some degree,’’ said Ryan Nunn, research director at Yale University’s Budget Lab.

The economy, Nunn said, has been boosted by a surge in investment in artificial intelligence. Also helping are lower tariff rates since President Donald Trump has effectively lowered the massive import taxes he imposed last year – and the Supreme Court in February struck down his most sweeping levies, setting the stage for businesses to get back money they'd paid.

Big tax refunds — the product of Trump’s 2025 tax cuts — have given the economy a lift, offsetting the impact of higher energy prices. But the refunds have mostly been pocketed, and gasoline prices have remained above $4 per gallon since March.

U.S. financial markets retreated after the jobs data was released Friday. Healthy hiring has raised the odds that the Fed's next move will be an interest rate increase, a sharp change from the start of the year when central bank officials had still penciled in two rate cuts for 2026.

Wall Street now expects a rate hike in December, which would be sharply at odds with Trump’s repeated demands for a cut. An increase by the Fed could lead, over time, to higher borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans, and business loans.

“Higher rates are coming, particularly when inflation is above target and clearly moving in the wrong direction,” said Dario Perkins, an economist at TS Lombard. “The only question is when.”

Uncle Giuseppe’s Marketplace, which operates 12 grocery stores across New York and New Jersey, is on a hiring spree. President Mike Nelson announced last fall that he wanted to add 1,000 workers over the next year, pushing the company's payroll over 3,500.

Nelson says his problem is finding skilled workers.

“We’re looking for a butcher who can cut meat in the store and engage with our customers and give them cooking ideas and speak to them about what makes the product special,” he said. “You don’t find that everywhere now.”

Like other grocery stores, Uncle Giuseppe’s has benefited as Americans cut back on dinners out as the cost of living marches higher. The company is marketing specials to lure inflation-scarred shoppers, like a $39.99 chicken Parmesan and pasta meal for a family of four that includes a loaf of bread and a salad.

Michael Wieder, the co-founder of the baby products maker Lalo, is also hiring a few new workers.

Wieder is feeling optimistic because he expects $2 million in tariff refunds after the trade policies of President Trump were shot down by the courts. He is planning to use that money for hiring, but gotten less than $50,000 back to date.

He has roughly 20 employees who work in marketing, operations, customer service and other areas for his New York company. He said he's looking for applicants that will embrace artificial intelligence. Lalo has already been using AI tools in areas like marketing and plans to launch an AI tool on Monday that helps parents potty train their children.

“We’re evaluating the type of people we hire in this rapidly changing environment,” he said.



Source link

Leave a Reply

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get our latest articles delivered straight to your inbox. No spam, we promise.

Recent Reviews



People stand a protest and sing

On Thursday, the Minneapolis City Council will decide whether to give renters impacted by the ICE surge more time to make overdue rent. Nine votes are needed to override Mayor Jacob Frey’s second veto of a measure that would temporarily extend the grace period prior to an eviction.

That means that at least one of the five council members who voted against the extension — Michael Rainville, LaTrisha Vetaw, Pearll Warren, Elizabeth Shaffer or Linea Palmisano — would have to change course to pass the override.

The political fight comes as eviction filings creep up. Many immigrant renters are still struggling to make ends meet after the federal government caused job loss, months without income and family separation.

Eight council members, Robin Wonsley, Elliott Payne, Jason Chavez, Jamal Osman, Jamison Whiting, Aisha Chughtai, Aurin Chowdhury and Soren Stevenson voted in favor of the ordinance, which Frey vetoed. It’s the second time the mayor has axed a move to give renters more time, arguing that doing so would cause too much rent debt and strain affordable housing providers. The current proposal extends the city’s 30-day grace period to 45 days. The previous proposal extended that period to 60 days.

“Eviction extensions and moratoriums will create a larger debt trap for our already vulnerable neighbors facing housing insecurity as a result of Operation Metro Surge,” Frey said in a statement after the recent veto, while also highlighting his support for increasing rent assistance.

But some housing advocates, academics and rent relief organizers say the extension is crucial for people to stay housed and get connected to community resources and new citywide rent-relief.

“The data we do have says that extending filing periods is going to keep people housed and then what happens after that is a political question,” said Nick Graetz, an assistant professor of sociology at the University of Minnesota and former researcher at Princeton University’s Eviction Lab.

Graetz said the most important data is the well-documented evidence of how devastating evictions can be on one’s life trajectory.

Research shows evictions drive poverty and homelessness, smudge renters’ records and limit future housing opportunities. Evictions during pregnancy are associated with adverse birth outcomes. Evictions and eviction filings are associated with increased risk for premature death.

“From an evidence-based standpoint, if we can delay and avoid eviction as much as possible, especially in the fallout of this acute, traumatic event in the cities, I think that’s worth doing,” said Graetz, who noted that there is no research proving longer eviction notice periods lead to more evictions down the line.

A slate of affordable housing providers who publicly opposed the City Council’s first attempt at temporarily giving renters a 60-day buffer have argued that the longer notice period would keep people from accessing aid while rent accrues. The providers, including leaders at Beacon Interfaith and Catholic Charities, noted applications for county aid usually require an official eviction filing, not an eviction notice.

“There is also the reality that we need to acknowledge rent is the primary revenue source for affordable housing. When rent goes unpaid for months, the financial impact does not disappear,” said Laura Russ at a public hearing in March. Russ is the chief real estate officer at Aeon, an affordable housing provider that filed evictions during the surge. “Buildings still need maintenance. Staff still need to be paid.”

Edward Goetz, the director of the Center for Urban and Regional Affairs at the University of Minnesota called the joint opposition from affordable housing providers “inexplicable.” Goetz studies nonprofit housing developers and has served on the board of directors for two nonprofit housing development corporations.

“They’re supposed to be in the business of providing housing for people who are marginalized in the market,” he said. “I was really quite surprised that they would take this stance against what I think is a reasonable accommodation to allow tenants the time necessary to correct arrearages.”

Goetz said his support is based, in part, on a 2024 master’s thesis by Jack Post Gramlich, who is now a research scientist for the state. That research indicated that a 30-day pre-eviction notice in Brooklyn Center did not cause problems and reduced evictions, and concluded that while evictions spiked across the state after COVID-19 eviction protections were lifted, the city of Brooklyn Center “flattened the eviction curve.”

The Minneapolis City Council allocated a total of $3.8 million toward emergency rental assistance earlier this year. The first $2 million became available late April. Renters must have a household income at or below 30% of the Area Median Income to be eligible and can qualify with a pre-eviction notice.

While community groups say direct aid from neighbors has slowed, larger philanthropic donations have ramped up in recent months, providing rent relief to some groups with fewer barriers to access.

Alibella Rodriguez said she just needs more time to pay her rent.

Rodriguez is a Minneapolis resident who stopped leaving her house in December, and said she still relies on community aid to make ends meet. Her husband stopped taking up painting jobs, leaving their household without income.

About a month ago, Rodriguez finally started venturing out, but with extra precautions like asking other people for rides. With businesses shuttered, she said, there’s less work available.

Rodriguez, who is also a tenant leader and member of Inquilinxs Unidxs por Justicia, a renter advocacy group, said she felt disillusioned by each veto of a longer pre-eviction notice period.

“I’m thinking about the kids,” said Rodriguez whose 12-year-old begged her and her husband to stay home during the surge. “Not just my own kids, but all the kids who went through this are traumatized from being through the occupation. And to think that they go from that to the risk of losing their homes is really frustrating.”



Source link